[Prevalent forecast of kiwifruit bacterial canker caused by Pseudomonas syringae pv. actinidiae]

The prevalent analysis of kiwifruit bacterial canker for several years showed that the effective ecological factors of severe degree were the precipitation (x1) in the second and last ten-days of March, and the average temperature (x2) of January. The model was y = 2.1359 + 0.0107x1 - 0.6061x2. The main factor of the prevalence was the relative variation of ten-days average temperature and precipitation in Winter and in early Spring, and the regression equation was y = -8.127 + 22.739x - 13.254x2. The forecast effect of the equation was obviously significant after testing.