Heterosis, marker mutational processes and population inbreeding history

Genotype-fitness correlations (GFC) have previously been studied using allozyme markers and have often focused on short-term processes such as recent inbreeding. Thus, models of GFC usually neglect marker mutation and only use heterozygosity as a genotypic index. Recently, GFC have also been reported (i) with DNA markers such as microsatellites, characterized by high mutation rates and specific mutational processes and (ii) using new individual genotypic indices assumed to be more precise than heterozygosity. The aim of this article is to evaluate the theoretical impact of marker mutation on GFC. We model GFC due to short-term processes generated by the current breeding system (partial selfing) and to long-term processes generated by past population history (hybridization). Various mutation rates and mutation models corresponding to different kinds of molecular markers are considered. Heterozygosity is compared to other genotypic indices designed for specific marker types. Highly mutable markers (such as microsatellites) are particularly suitable for the detection of GFC that evolve in relation to short-term processes, whereas GFC due to long-term processes are best observed with intermediate mutation rates. Irrespective of the marker type and population scenario, heterozygosity usually provides higher correlations than other genotypic indices under most biologically plausible conditions.