Correlated hit probability and cell transformation in an effect-specific track length model applied to in vitro alpha...

In estimating the risk from low doses of alpha particles such as those emitted by radon progeny, it is important to consider the correlation between cellular inactivation and transformation that can exist at the cellular level. A phenomenological model of radiation-induced cellular inactivation and transformation at this level is presented here which incorporates aspects of a state vector model of radiation carcinogenesis and of correlated hit probabilities for inactivation and transformation. The general form of the model assumes that both inactivation and initial initiation damage are produced through the interaction of sublesions induced by radiation passing through cell nuclei, with the production of sublesions governed by hit probabilities and a characteristic probability-per-unit track length. The inactivation and initiation events are partially correlated through the use of hit probabilities. In addition, promotional events are incorporated for the case of cellular transformation based on a previously published state vector model. The model provides good fits to available data on the relationship between inactivation, transformation and LET for doses of alpha above 0.1 Gy in the range of LETs commonly produced by radon and progeny; by "good fits" we mean here the ability to yield the correct shapes of dose-response data using parameter values that vary smoothly with LET and using inactivation parameters that are applied consistently between inactivation and transformation assays. The resulting model correctly predicts recent findings indicating an increased transformation frequency per surviving cell when a population receives a distribution of hits compared to irradiation where all cells receive the same number of hits.