Pediatric non-Hodgkin's lymphoma: clinical and biologic prognostic factors and risk allocation

The use of effective combination chemotherapy for all stages and subtypes of non-Hodgkin"s lymphoma (NHL) in children has resulted in a striking improvement in cure rates. Event-free survival now ranges from 70% to 90%, depending on the stage of disease and the NHL subtype. Risk-adapted therapy has resulted in a dramatic improvement in outcome for high-risk patients, at the cost of significantly increased short-term toxicity, and a reduction of therapy and toxicity for the lower-risk patient, while maintaining the excellent cure rate. Successful risk allocation of patients is dependent on the identification and continual validation of prognostic factors. The specific treatment protocol is the single most important factor predicting outcome today. Traditional prognostic factors such as stage and tumor burden are useful in selecting the intensity and length of therapy, rather than as a major indicator of likelihood of survival. In order to further improve cure rates and decrease toxicity, new biologic prognosticators need to be found and validated. Some promising avenues for study appear to be the presence or absence of adhesion molecules and of aberrant proteins that are specific to subtypes of lymphomas, such as soluble CD30 and anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK), the molecular classification of lymphomas on the basis of gene expression, and the evaluation of biologic markers for measuring early response to therapy.