Mammographic appearance of ductal carcinoma in situ does not reliably predict histologic subtype

Histologic subtypes of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) have been correlated with disease prognosis. There are conflicting reports on whether the grade of DCIS can be predicted by the morphology of calcifications seen on mammography. We undertook this study to determine whether the grade of DCIS can be reliably and accurately determined by mammography prior to excisional biopsy. Ninety consecutive cases of DCIS from 1993 to 1996 were identified, of which 75 cases had mammograms available for review. Any lesion with invasion was excluded. The mammogram showed only a mass in 10 of 75 cases, a mass and calcifications in 3 of 75 cases, and calcifications alone in 62 of 75 cases. Three board-certified radiologists with special expertise in mammography reviewed and categorized the mammographic findings as well, intermediate or poorly differentiated DCIS without knowledge of the histologic diagnosis. Histologic grading was performed without knowledge of the mammographic finding. Receiver operating curves (ROCs) were computed for each of the radiologists. For microcalcifications, the ROC comparisons of the radiologists' opinions of tumor grade and random chance were not significantly different. In those cases with available magnification views, the grade assessment did not change significantly. If only a mass was present on mammography, well-differentiated DCIS was the predominant histologic subtype. A histologic grade of DCIS cannot accurately be determined prospectively based on the mammographic appearance of microcalcifications. However, if only a mass is present, this is more likely to represent well-differentiated DCIS.