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Published on: November 15, 2013
A resource utilization projection study of EUS
Koy Srirojanakul Parada1, Rhoda Peng, Richard A Erickson
1Division of Gastroenterology, Medical Center, University of California-Irvine, Orange, CA 92868, USA.
The demand for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (EUS) in the United States is projected to exceed current resources. This study estimates a significant need for EUS procedures annually, highlighting potential capacity shortfalls.
Area of Science:
- Gastroenterology
- Medical Technology Assessment
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) is a standard diagnostic and staging tool for gastrointestinal (GI) malignancies.
- Uncertainty exists regarding the sufficiency of current EUS resources to meet potential demand.
- This study evaluates the hypothetical demand for EUS services in the U.S.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the total number of EUS procedures that would be indicated annually in the United States.
- To assess whether existing EUS resources can meet this projected demand.
- To identify factors for future EUS capacity planning.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of EUS cases from 3 expert centers in 1997.
- Extrapolation of trends to national cancer statistics.
- Calculation of hypothetical demand based on GI malignancy incidence, unresectable cases, elderly nonsurgical candidates, and emerging indications.
Main Results:
- A hypothetical annual demand of 79,568 EUS cases was calculated for the U.S.
- Specific indications include esophagus (10,287), stomach (10,666), pancreas (23,069), and rectal (35,546).
- Including "other" indications, the potential annual procedures could reach 89,116, with a conservative estimate of 79,572.
Conclusions:
- Current EUS resources in the U.S. are likely insufficient to meet the projected demand.
- Future planning must consider the number and capacity of endoscopy units performing EUS.
- Implications for EUS training programs in the United States require careful consideration.
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