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Prediction of outcomes in hypertensive patients with suspected coronary disease
Thomas H Marwick1, Colin Case, Stephen Sawada
1University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia. tmarwick@medicine.pa.uq.edu.au
Insights
Stress echocardiography effectively predicts cardiac death in hypertensive patients. Abnormalities like ischemia on stress echocardiograms indicate higher mortality risk, offering valuable prognostic information.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Diagnostic Imaging
- Clinical Prognostics
Background:
- Stress echocardiography aids coronary artery disease diagnosis in hypertension.
- Its prognostic value for mortality prediction in this population remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess stress echocardiography's ability to predict mortality in hypertensive patients.
- To determine if stress echocardiography results offer incremental prognostic value.
Main Methods:
- Prospective follow-up of 2363 hypertensive patients for up to 10 years.
- Analysis of stress echocardiogram findings (normal, resting LV dysfunction, ischemia).
- Evaluation of exercise vs. dobutamine stress echocardiography outcomes.
Main Results:
- Stress echocardiography identified ischemia as an independent predictor of mortality.
- Negative stress echocardiograms showed a low annual death risk (<1%).
- Echocardiography results added prognostic power to clinical and exercise data.
Conclusions:
- Stress echocardiography is an independent predictor of cardiac death in hypertensive patients.
- It provides prognostic information incremental to clinical risk factors and exercise tests.
- Abnormalities like ischemia on stress echocardiograms are significant indicators of mortality risk.
Abstract:
Stress echocardiography has been shown to improve the diagnosis of coronary artery disease in the presence of hypertension, but its value in prognostic evaluation is unclear. We sought to determine whether stress echocardiography could be used to predict mortality in 2363 patients with hypertension, who were followed for up to 10 years (mean 4.0+/-1.8) for death and revascularization. Stress echocardiograms were normal in 1483 patients (63%), 16% had resting left ventricular (LV) dysfunction alone, and 21% had ischemia. Abnormalities were confined to one territory in 489 patients (21%) and to multiple territories in 365 patients (15%). Cardiac death was less frequent among the patients able to exercise than among those undergoing dobutamine echocardiography (4% versus 7%, P< 0.001). The risk of death in patients with a negative stress echocardiogram was <1% per year. Ischemia identified by stress echocardiography was an independent predictor of mortality in those able to exercise (hazard ratio 2.21, 95% confidence intervals 1.10 to 4.43, P=0.0001) as well as those undergoing dobutamine echo (hazard ratio 2.39, 95% confidence intervals 1.53 to 3.75, P=0.0001); other predictors were age, heart failure, resting LV dysfunction, and the Duke treadmill score. In stepwise models replicating the sequence of clinical evaluation, the results of stress echocardiography added prognostic power to models based on clinical and stress-testing variables. Thus, the results of stress echocardiography are an independent predictor of cardiac death in hypertensive patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease, incremental to clinical risks and exercise results.
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