Development of a Monte Carlo sampling shell for the pesticide root zone model and its application by the Federal...

A user interface to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency pesticide root zone model (PRZM) was constructed to allow Monte Carlo sampling of input parameter distributions. The interface was constructed employing the Visual Basic for Applications development environment, along with the functionality of the Crystal Ball Professional forecasting and risk analysis package. The tool has been utilized by the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) Environmental Model Validation Task Force to perform detailed statistical analyses of model input parameter uncertainty and the propagation of this uncertainty on the model outputs as well as comparisons of modeled and field-measured data.