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Related Experiment Videos

Modeling household fertility decisions: a nonlinear simultaneous probit model.

M E Sobel, G Arminger

    Journal of the American Statistical Association
    |March 1, 1992
    PubMed
    Summary

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    This study models household fertility decisions by analyzing both partners' desires for children. Findings suggest husbands and wives have equal influence on fertility outcomes.

    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Sociology
    • Family Studies

    Background:

    • Understanding household fertility decisions is crucial for demographic and social research.
    • Previous models often simplified the complex interplay of spousal desires in fertility planning.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To propose and test a new statistical model for household fertility decisions.
    • To analyze the joint influence of husband's and wife's desires on subsequent fertility.

    Main Methods:

    • Modeling the trivariate distribution of wife's desire, husband's desire, and subsequent fertility.
    • Viewing stated desires as indicators of latent dispositions toward fertility.
    • Estimating and testing model parameters to assess relative spousal influence.
    Keywords:
    AmericasBehaviorComparative StudiesDecision MakingDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesFamily And HouseholdFamily CharacteristicsFamily SizeFamily Size, DesiredFertilityHusband-wife ComparisonsModels, TheoreticalNorth AmericaNorthern AmericaPopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologyStatistical StudiesStudiesUnited States

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    Main Results:

    • Both husband's and wife's disposition scores significantly affect the couple's fertility propensity.
    • The model was tested using U.S. data from the Princeton Fertility Study (1950s-1960s).

    Conclusions:

    • The developed model provides a nuanced approach to understanding fertility decisions.
    • Husbands and wives demonstrated equal relative influence on fertility propensity under specific assumptions.