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Updated: Jul 15, 2026

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
On estimating internal migration for open populations
Abstract:
"The purpose of this note is to review the case for using the forward census survival ratio (FCSR) method for estimating internal migration. Through this technique seems likely, on certain criteria, to offer usable estimates of migration, it suffers from what some critics regard as a crucial weakness, namely a sensitivity to inernational migration. It is argued here, however, that this deficiency is less damaging than others have made it out to be. Consequently, a case can be made for preferring the FCSR method to other methods."
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