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Climatic conditions and migration: an econometric inquiry.

S M Renas, R Kumar

    The Annals of Regional Science
    |March 1, 1983
    PubMed
    Summary

    Climate significantly influences migration decisions. People prefer moderate climates, avoiding extremes, and new climate indicators better explain this migration behavior. This study used U.S. data from 1960-1970.

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    Area of Science:

    • Environmental Science
    • Sociology
    • Economics

    Background:

    • Migration patterns are influenced by various factors.
    • Previous studies have explored climate's role in migration, but with limited indicators.
    • Understanding climate-driven migration is crucial for policy and urban planning.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To examine the impact of climate on migration behavior.
    • To compare the effectiveness of traditional and novel climate indicators in explaining migration.
    • To identify which climate variables best predict migration decisions.

    Main Methods:

    • Regression analysis was used to model migration behavior.
    • The study analyzed in-migration data for 36 U.S. urban areas (SMSAs).
    • Data spanned the period from 1960 to 1970, incorporating diverse climatic indicators.
    Keywords:
    AmericasData AnalysisDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesEcologyEconomic ModelEnvironmentLiterature ReviewMathematical ModelMigrationMigration, InternalModels, TheoreticalNorth AmericaNorthern AmericaPopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologyStatistical RegressionStatistical StudiesUnited StatesUrban Population

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    Main Results:

    • Individuals' migration decisions are significantly influenced by climatic conditions.
    • A preference for moderate climates over extreme hot or cold conditions was observed.
    • Novel climate indicators, not previously used in migration literature, provided superior explanatory power.

    Conclusions:

    • Climate is a significant determinant of human migration.
    • The findings highlight the importance of considering a broader range of climate variables.
    • Future research should explore these novel indicators for a more accurate understanding of climate-induced migration.