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[Quebec's population decline: if it is foreseeable, is it avoidable?].

J Perreault, R Costa, M V George

    Cahiers Quebecois De Demographie
    |October 1, 1986
    PubMed
    Summary
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    Quebec faces a population decline due to its lowest fertility rate in Canada. This study explores simulation scenarios to identify potential replacement strategies and prevent a demographic downturn.

    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Population Studies
    • Sociology

    Context:

    • Quebec exhibits the lowest fertility rate in Canada.
    • Current demographic trends indicate a potential population decline in Quebec.
    • Understanding population dynamics is crucial for regional planning.

    Purpose:

    • To analyze Quebec's demographic trends and project future population changes.
    • To identify and evaluate scenarios that could mitigate population decline.
    • To explore potential replacement strategies for Quebec's population.

    Summary:

    • The study simulates future population trajectories for Quebec based on current fertility trends.
    • It investigates the projected timing and extent of population decline.
    • Various replacement scenarios are modeled to assess their effectiveness in preventing decline.
    Keywords:
    AmericasCanadaDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesDeveloping CountriesFertilityLow Fertility PopulationNorth AmericaNorthern AmericaPolicyPopulationPopulation DecreasePopulation DynamicsPopulation PolicyPopulation ReplacementPopulation SizePronatalist PolicySocial Policy

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    Impact:

    • Provides insights into demographic challenges facing Quebec.
    • Informs policy-making related to population management and fertility.
    • Highlights the importance of proactive strategies for sustainable population levels.