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Probabilistic income-maximizing behavior in regional migration: an empirical test
The Review of Regional Studies
|April 1, 1980
Summary
Migrants evaluate income risk when deciding where to move. Higher income risk in a region deters net migration, as shown by this study on US migration patterns.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Sociology
- Demography
Background:
- Migration decisions are influenced by perceived economic returns.
- The role of income risk in migration models requires empirical validation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To empirically test if migrants incorporate income risk into their migration decisions.
- To examine how income risk affects net migration rates.
Main Methods:
- Reviewed theoretical approaches to income risk in migration.
- Analyzed US net migration data (1960-1970) for white and nonwhite populations.
- Tested the hypothesis that higher income risk reduces net migration.
Main Results:
- Empirical evidence supports the hypothesis that income risk influences migration.
- Higher levels of income risk in a region correlate with lower net migration rates.
- The findings hold for both white and nonwhite migration patterns.
Conclusions:
- Migrants are sensitive to income risk when choosing destinations.
- Income risk is a significant factor in migration modeling.
- Policy implications for regional development and migration management.
Keywords:
AmericasDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesEconomic FactorsEconomic ModelEthnic GroupsGeographic FactorsIncomeMathematical ModelMigrationMigration, InternalModels, TheoreticalNorth AmericaNorthern AmericaPopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocioeconomic FactorsUnited StatesMore Related Videos
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