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Probabilistic income-maximizing behavior in regional migration: an empirical test.

R I Weinstein, R D Evans

    The Review of Regional Studies
    |April 1, 1980
    PubMed
    Summary
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    Migrants evaluate income risk when deciding where to move. Higher income risk in a region deters net migration, as shown by this study on US migration patterns.

    Area of Science:

    • Economics
    • Sociology
    • Demography

    Background:

    • Migration decisions are influenced by perceived economic returns.
    • The role of income risk in migration models requires empirical validation.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To empirically test if migrants incorporate income risk into their migration decisions.
    • To examine how income risk affects net migration rates.

    Main Methods:

    • Reviewed theoretical approaches to income risk in migration.
    • Analyzed US net migration data (1960-1970) for white and nonwhite populations.
    • Tested the hypothesis that higher income risk reduces net migration.

    Main Results:

    • Empirical evidence supports the hypothesis that income risk influences migration.
    Keywords:
    AmericasDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesEconomic FactorsEconomic ModelEthnic GroupsGeographic FactorsIncomeMathematical ModelMigrationMigration, InternalModels, TheoreticalNorth AmericaNorthern AmericaPopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocioeconomic FactorsUnited States

    Related Experiment Videos

  • Higher levels of income risk in a region correlate with lower net migration rates.
  • The findings hold for both white and nonwhite migration patterns.

    • Conclusions:

    • Migrants are sensitive to income risk when choosing destinations.
    • Income risk is a significant factor in migration modeling.
    • Policy implications for regional development and migration management.