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Updated: Jul 17, 2026
20:36
Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
An equilibrium model of gross migration
Journal of Regional Science
|May 1, 1989
Summary
This study introduces a new equilibrium migration model, demonstrating that migration rates respond to factors like amenities and policies. This model better explains U.S. migration patterns than traditional disequilibrium approaches.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Sociology
- Demography
Background:
- Conventional migration models often rely on disequilibrium approaches.
- Understanding migration drivers is crucial for regional development and policy-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To present and test a novel equilibrium model of migration.
- To compare the explanatory power of the equilibrium model against the disequilibrium approach.
Main Methods:
- The study utilizes data on gross migration of U.S. whites from 1975-1980.
- Key variables include regional amenities (e.g., climate) and economic factors (e.g., government services, taxes, unionization).
Main Results:
- The proposed equilibrium model demonstrates greater consistency with observed migration patterns compared to the disequilibrium model.
- Empirical analysis quantifies the impact of amenities and policies on migration flows.
Conclusions:
- Migration patterns can be understood as equilibrium responses to regional characteristics.
- The equilibrium model provides a more robust framework for analyzing interregional migration.
Keywords:
AmericasClimateCultural BackgroundDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesDeveloping CountriesEconomic FactorsEnvironmentEthnic GroupsFinancial ActivitiesGovernmentMigrationMigration, InternalModels, TheoreticalNorth AmericaNorthern AmericaPolicyPolitical FactorsPopulationPopulation CharacteristicsPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocial WelfareSocioeconomic FactorsTaxationUnited StatesWhites
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