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An equilibrium model of gross migration.

J Schachter, P G Althaus

    Journal of Regional Science
    |May 1, 1989
    PubMed
    Summary
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    This study introduces a new equilibrium migration model, demonstrating that migration rates respond to factors like amenities and policies. This model better explains U.S. migration patterns than traditional disequilibrium approaches.

    Area of Science:

    • Economics
    • Sociology
    • Demography

    Background:

    • Conventional migration models often rely on disequilibrium approaches.
    • Understanding migration drivers is crucial for regional development and policy-making.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To present and test a novel equilibrium model of migration.
    • To compare the explanatory power of the equilibrium model against the disequilibrium approach.

    Main Methods:

    • The study utilizes data on gross migration of U.S. whites from 1975-1980.
    • Key variables include regional amenities (e.g., climate) and economic factors (e.g., government services, taxes, unionization).

    Main Results:

    • The proposed equilibrium model demonstrates greater consistency with observed migration patterns compared to the disequilibrium model.
    Keywords:
    AmericasClimateCultural BackgroundDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesDeveloping CountriesEconomic FactorsEnvironmentEthnic GroupsFinancial ActivitiesGovernmentMigrationMigration, InternalModels, TheoreticalNorth AmericaNorthern AmericaPolicyPolitical FactorsPopulationPopulation CharacteristicsPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocial WelfareSocioeconomic FactorsTaxationUnited StatesWhites

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  • Empirical analysis quantifies the impact of amenities and policies on migration flows.
  • Conclusions:

    • Migration patterns can be understood as equilibrium responses to regional characteristics.
    • The equilibrium model provides a more robust framework for analyzing interregional migration.