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[Methods for projecting private households].

W Grunewald

    Allgemeines Statistisches Archiv
    |January 1, 1992
    PubMed
    Summary
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    This study analyzes why few household projection methods are practically used. It reviews key methods, detailing their assumptions and data requirements for better application.

    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Statistical Modeling
    • Social Sciences

    Context:

    • Household projection is crucial for urban planning and resource allocation.
    • Existing projection methods vary significantly in complexity and data needs.
    • Limited practical application of developed methods hinders effective planning.

    Purpose:

    • To analyze the reasons behind the low practical utilization of household projection methods.
    • To present and critically evaluate established methods for projecting private households.
    • To clarify the assumptions and data prerequisites for each method.

    Summary:

    • A comprehensive review of significant household projection methodologies is conducted.
    • The analysis focuses on the underlying assumptions and data requirements of each method.
    Keywords:
    Estimation TechnicsFamily And HouseholdHouseholdsMethodological StudiesPopulation ProjectionResearch MethodologyWorld

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  • The study aims to bridge the gap between theoretical methods and practical implementation.

    • Impact:

    • Provides a clear overview of available projection techniques for researchers and policymakers.
    • Facilitates informed selection of appropriate methods based on data availability and planning context.
    • Contributes to improving the accuracy and reliability of future household demographic forecasts.