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City size distributions and spatial economic change.

E Sheppard

    International Regional Science Review
    |October 1, 1982
    PubMed
    Summary

    City size distribution models often ignore interurban connections, a critical factor in urban growth. Empirical evidence suggests these models poorly correlate with national development, challenging their widespread application.

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    Area of Science:

    • Urban Studies
    • Economic Geography
    • Spatial Economics

    Background:

    • Traditional city size distribution models, like the rank-size rule, are widely used in urban and economic geography.
    • These models often overlook the crucial role of interurban interdependencies in shaping urban growth patterns.
    • Existing theoretical frameworks lack a comprehensive understanding of how interconnectedness influences city development.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To critique the conventional concept of city size distribution.
    • To evaluate the theoretical justifications for the rank-size relationship.
    • To empirically test the correlation between city size distribution deviations and national socioeconomic characteristics.

    Main Methods:

    • Literature review of theoretical justifications for rank-size relationships.
    Keywords:
    Demographic FactorsEconomic DevelopmentEconomic FactorsGeographic FactorsPopulationPopulation CharacteristicsPopulation DynamicsPopulation SizeSocioeconomic FactorsSpatial DistributionUrban PopulationUrban Spatial DistributionUrbanizationWorld

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  • Empirical analysis of deviations from rank-size distributions.
  • Correlation analysis with national economic and social indicators.
  • Main Results:

    • The study identifies a lack of consideration for interurban interdependencies in current city size distribution concepts.
    • Theoretical justifications for the rank-size rule share these limitations.
    • Empirical findings show a weak correlation between deviations from rank-size distributions and national economic/social characteristics.

    Conclusions:

    • Arguments linking city size distributions directly to national development levels, without considering internal variations, lack empirical support.
    • Interurban dynamics are a critical, yet often ignored, factor in understanding urban systems.
    • Future research should incorporate interdependencies for more accurate urban growth modeling.