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Interstate migration in Mexico: variations on the Todaro theme.

W E Cole, R D Sanders

    Journal of Development Economics
    |June 1, 1983
    PubMed
    Summary

    This study on migration in Mexico uses a modified Todaro approach and census data to analyze migration drivers. Findings suggest land reform may have inadvertently increased migration and informal sector growth.

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    Area of Science:

    • Economics
    • Sociology
    • Demography

    Background:

    • Migration patterns are complex and influenced by economic and social factors.
    • Existing migration models often lack comprehensive variables for employment probability and migration costs.
    • The role of land reform in migration dynamics requires further investigation.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To analyze migration in Mexico using a modified Todaro approach.
    • To introduce novel proxy variables for employment probability and migration costs.
    • To explore the impact of land reform on migration and informal sector growth.

    Main Methods:

    • Utilized a simultaneous equations model with 13 variables.
    • Employed census data, highlighting its advantages over survey data in certain contexts.
    Keywords:
    AmericasDemographic FactorsDeveloping CountriesEconomic FactorsEconomic ModelEmployment StatusLand SupplyLatin AmericaMexicoMigration, InternalMigration--costModels, TheoreticalNorth AmericaPopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocioeconomic FactorsSocioeconomic Status

    Related Experiment Videos

  • Introduced and validated new proxy variables for key migration determinants.
  • Main Results:

    • Developed and applied unique proxy variables for employment probability and migration costs.
    • Demonstrated the utility of census data for migration studies.
    • Found evidence suggesting land reform in Mexico may have had unintended consequences, potentially increasing migration.
    • Identified a new research direction for understanding informal sector expansion.

    Conclusions:

    • The modified Todaro model with novel proxy variables provides valuable insights into Mexican migration.
    • Census data offers distinct advantages for migration research.
    • Land reform policies may require re-evaluation due to potential perverse effects on migration and informal economies.