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Updated: Sep 29, 2026

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
A probability model for number of births and its application in estimation of fecundability for a heterogeneous
Abstract:
"Under some simple assumptions relating to the human reproduction process, an extension of a probability model describing the variations in the number of births to a female during a specified period of time (O, T) of length T, is proposed. The model is extended to a situation when the female population consists of two distinct groups with respect to fecundability. A procedure of estimation of some of the underlying parameters is given. The applicability of the model is illustrated with an observed distribution." Data for the illustration are from a population survey undertaken in Varanasi, India, in 1978.
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