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Updated: Aug 7, 2026
20:36
Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
Births averted under family planning programme: a mathematical approach
Sankhya
|December 1, 1984
Abstract:
"In this paper a probability model is proposed to describe the distribution of births to couples in first T years of marriage, when T is large and/or when couples use various methods of family planning. This model is derived on the assumption that conditional instantaneous risk of a conception, the incidence of foetal loss and the chance of attaining [sterility] following a child birth are functions of parity....The application of the model in evaluation of family planning programme changes in the child bearing pattern is illustrated."
Keywords:
Births AvertedContraceptionContraceptive UsageDemographic FactorsDemographic ImpactEvaluationEvaluation MethodologyFamily PlanningFamily Planning Program EvaluationFamily Planning ProgramsFecundabilityFecundityFertilityFertility MeasurementsFetal DeathInfertilityMathematical ModelMethodological StudiesModels, TheoreticalMortalityOrganization And AdministrationParityPopulationPopulation DynamicsProbabilityProgram EvaluationProgramsReproductionResearch MethodologyStatistical StudiesStudies
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