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A numerical method of population projection.

D Chakrabarty, H K Baruah

    Journal. Assam Science Society
    |September 1, 1993
    PubMed
    Summary
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    A new numerical method projects regional population changes, estimating India's population between 836-850 million in 1991 and 986 million-1.042 billion by 2001.

    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Mathematical Modeling
    • Population Studies

    Background:

    • Accurate population projections are crucial for regional planning and resource allocation.
    • Previous demographic models may have limitations in capturing specific regional dynamics.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To develop and apply a novel numerical method for projecting the total population of a geographical region.
    • To provide population estimates for India for the years 1991 and 2001.

    Main Methods:

    • Development of a new numerical projection technique.
    • Application of the method to demographic data for India.

    Main Results:

    • The study projected India's population to be between 836 and 850 million in 1991.
    Keywords:
    AsiaDemographic FactorsDeveloping CountriesEstimation TechnicsIndiaMathematical ModelMethodological StudiesModels, TheoreticalPopulationPopulation DynamicsPopulation ProjectionPopulation SizeResearch MethodologySouthern Asia

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  • The projected population for India in 2001 ranged from 986 million to 1,042 million.

    • Conclusions:

    • The developed numerical method offers a viable approach for regional population forecasting.
    • The findings provide critical data for understanding India's demographic trends during the specified period.