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Modelling on rural out-migration system: a probabilistic approach.

H Pandey

    Korea Journal of Population and Development
    |December 1, 1995
    PubMed
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    This study develops a probability model for out-migration using micro-level data. The model was validated with Indian demographic survey data, offering insights into migration patterns.

    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Statistical Modeling

    Background:

    • Understanding population movement is crucial for policy.
    • Existing models may not capture micro-level migration dynamics effectively.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To develop a probability model for total out-migration.
    • To utilize micro-level data for enhanced accuracy.

    Main Methods:

    • Development of a probability model.
    • Estimation of model parameters using the method of moments.
    • Validation using demographic survey data from India.

    Main Results:

    • A suitable probability model for out-migration was developed.
    • Model parameters were successfully estimated.
    Keywords:
    AsiaDemographic FactorsDeveloping CountriesIndiaMigrationMigration, InternalModels, TheoreticalPopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySouthern Asia

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  • The model demonstrated suitability when tested against empirical data.

    • Conclusions:

    • The developed probability model effectively describes out-migration variations.
    • Micro-level data and the proposed methods provide a robust approach to migration analysis.