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[Trend analysis for interprefectural migration in Japan, 1954-1993].

H Inaba, F Mita

    Jinko Mondai Kenkyu. [Journal of Population Problems]
    |July 1, 1995
    PubMed
    Summary

    Japanese interprefectural migration patterns shifted post-WWII. Initially concentrating in industrial hubs, population redistribution favored provincial areas, with recent trends showing a decline in migration

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    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Spatial analysis
    • Statistical modeling

    Context:

    • Post-WWII Japanese economic development.
    • Interprefectural migration dynamics.
    • Population distribution trends.

    Purpose:

    • Analyze long-term Japanese interprefectural migration trends.
    • Utilize a Markov migration model.
    • Examine population redistribution patterns.

    Summary:

    • Migration initially concentrated in industrialized prefectures (Tokyo, Osaka, Aichi) from the 1950s to 1970.
    • Post-1970s, populations redistributed to provincial prefectures.
    • Reconcentration to Tokyo occurred in the mid-1980s but ceased in the 1990s due to economic recession.
    • The recent migration system shows a reduced capacity for population redistribution.
    Keywords:
    AsiaDemographic FactorsDestination--determinantsDeveloped CountriesEastern AsiaEconomic ConditionsEconomic FactorsGeographic FactorsJapanMacroeconomic FactorsMigrationMigration, InternalPopulationPopulation DynamicsPopulation SizeSpatial Distribution--determinants

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    Impact:

    • Understanding shifts in population distribution.
    • Informing regional development policies.
    • Forecasting future migration patterns.