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[Population forecasts for the Netherlands after 1984].

Cruijsen Hgjm

    Maandstatistiek Van De Bevolking (Hague, Netherlands : 1982)
    |April 1, 1985
    PubMed
    Summary
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    [Population forecasts for the Netherlands, 1985-2035].

    Maandstatistiek van de bevolking (Hague, Netherlands : 1982)·1986
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    [Population forecasts 1984: hypotheses on nuptiality].

    Maandstatistiek van de bevolking (Hague, Netherlands : 1982)·1985
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    [Population forecasts, 1980: a sensitivity analysis of the forecasting model].

    Maandstatistiek van de bevolking (Hague, Netherlands : 1982)·1983
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    [The observed and forecasted population dynamics in the Netherlands, 1980-1982].

    Maandstatistiek van de bevolking (Hague, Netherlands : 1982)·1983

    Netherlands population projections up to 2035 are presented using a cohort-component model. The study details methods, assumptions, and alternative scenarios for demographic forecasting.

    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Population Studies
    • Social Statistics

    Background:

    • Official population projections are crucial for policy planning in the Netherlands.
    • Understanding demographic trends informs resource allocation and societal development.
    • Previous projections provide a baseline for current demographic analysis.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To present the latest official population projections for the Netherlands until 2035.
    • To detail the methodologies and assumptions underpinning these demographic forecasts.
    • To offer alternative projection scenarios and analyze demographic shifts by sex, age, and marital status.

    Main Methods:

    • Utilized a cohort-component model for population forecasting.
    • Incorporated key demographic components: fertility, mortality, and external migration.
    Keywords:
    Age DistributionAge FactorsComparative StudiesDemographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesEstimation TechnicsEuropeMarital StatusModels, TheoreticalNetherlandsNuptialityPopulationPopulation CharacteristicsPopulation DynamicsPopulation ForecastPopulation ProjectionResearch MethodologySex DistributionSex FactorsWestern Europe

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  • Accounted for administrative corrections, marriage, divorce, and widowhood transitions.

    • Main Results:

    • Presented three alternative population projection scenarios up to the year 2035.
    • Provided detailed breakdowns of projected population by sex, age, and marital status.
    • Quantified the impact of various demographic factors on future population trends.

    Conclusions:

    • The cohort-component model provides a robust framework for Dutch population forecasting.
    • Demographic changes in fertility, mortality, and migration will shape the future population.
    • Projections offer essential insights for Dutch policy-making and societal planning.