Related Experiment Video
Updated: Sep 29, 2026

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
[Simulation of possible developments in urbanization in the German Democratic Republic by the use of a multi-regional
Abstract:
An attempt is made to forecast likely trends in urbanization in the German Democratic Republic over the next 50 years using the multi-regional approach developed at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Laxenburg, Austria. "Three scenarios describe possible variants in the changes of fertility, mortality and interregional migration as demographic factors. The term 'region' is applied to 4 sizes of communities each grouped as rural communities, small towns, small medium-size towns, and large medium-size towns/large towns. The results of the simulation indicate for all three scenarios an absolute and relative decline in population of the rural communities and a continuation of the process of concentration among the population." (summary in ENG, RUS)
Related Concept Videos
Population Growth
Modeling with Differential Equations
Exponential Equations for Modeling Growth
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis
Growth Models with Integration: Problem Solving
Analysis of Population Pharmacokinetic Data
