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Modelling internal migration in Kenya: an econometric analysis with limited data.

G M Barber, W J Milne

    Environment & Planning A
    |September 1, 1988
    PubMed
    Summary
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    Economic and noneconomic factors, including destination opportunities and distance, significantly influence internal migration in Kenya. Understanding these determinants is crucial for regional development planning.

    Area of Science:

    • Economics
    • Sociology
    • Demography

    Background:

    • Internal migration is a significant demographic phenomenon in Kenya.
    • Understanding migration drivers is key for effective regional planning and resource allocation.
    • Existing models often require refinement to capture the complexities of migration in developing countries.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To analyze the determinants of internal migration in Kenya.
    • To apply a human capital model to understand migration behavior.
    • To identify key economic and noneconomic factors influencing migration decisions.

    Main Methods:

    • Utilized a human capital model framework.
    • Incorporated economic variables such as wage and employment rates.
    • Included noneconomic variables like population density and educational attainment, alongside intervening opportunities.
    Keywords:
    AfricaAfrica South Of The SaharaDemographic FactorsDestinationDeveloping CountriesDistanceEastern AfricaEconomic FactorsEconomic ModelEducational StatusEmploymentEnglish Speaking AfricaGeographic FactorsIncomeKenyaMigrationMigration, Internal--determinantsModels, TheoreticalPopulationPopulation DensityPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocioeconomic FactorsWages

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    Main Results:

    • Destination variables were found to be significant determinants of internal migration.
    • Distance between districts emerged as an important factor influencing migration.
    • Intervening opportunity variables significantly enhanced the model's explanatory power.

    Conclusions:

    • Internal migration patterns in Kenya are shaped by a combination of economic, noneconomic, and spatial factors.
    • Destination characteristics and opportunities play a crucial role in migration decisions.
    • The human capital model, augmented with intervening opportunities, provides a robust framework for analyzing Kenyan internal migration.