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Related Articles

Articles linked to this work by shared authors, journal, and citation graph.

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Same author

[The theory of migration].

Jahrbucher fur Nationalokonomie und Statistik·1993
Same author

Labor migration in Europe: experiences from Germany after unification.

European economic review·1992
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[Labor migration in a unified Germany].

B Raffelhuschen

    Zeitschrift Fur Wirtschafts- Und Sozialwissenschaften
    |January 1, 1993
    PubMed
    Summary

    Future labor migration in unified Germany is projected to be substantial. Diverging economic conditions are expected to drive significant net migration of eastern workers to the west by 1995.

    Keywords:
    CapitalDemographic FactorsDestinationDeveloped CountriesEconomic ConditionsEconomic FactorsEstimation TechnicsEuropeGermanyHuman ResourcesInequalitiesLabor ForceLabor MigrationMacroeconomic FactorsMigrationMigration, InternalPopulationPopulation DynamicsPopulation ProjectionResearch MethodologySocioeconomic FactorsTechnologyWestern Europe

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    Area of Science:

    • Economics
    • Sociology
    • German Studies

    Background:

    • The reunification of Germany created significant economic disparities between the former East and West German states.
    • Understanding labor mobility is crucial for assessing the long-term integration and economic convergence of the unified nation.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To model and forecast future labor migration patterns within unified Germany.
    • To analyze the impact of economic divergence on worker location choices.

    Main Methods:

    • Utilized a microbased general equilibrium model to simulate labor market dynamics.
    • Incorporated economic conditions of both old and new German Lander (states).

    Main Results:

    • Economic disparities heavily influence German workers' location decisions.
    • Projected net migration of eastern workers to the west could reach 12% by 1993 and 16% by 1995, absent rapid equalization.

    Conclusions:

    • Significant labor migration is an expected consequence of economic divergence post-reunification.
    • The pace of capital and technology transfer is critical in mitigating large-scale migration flows.