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Migration within Great Britain and cardiovascular disease: early life and adult environmental factors
S Goya Wannamethee1, A Gerald Shaper, Peter H Whincup
1Department of Primary Care and Population Sciences, Royal Free and University College Medical School, London, UK. goya@pcps.ucl.ac.uk
Insights
Adult life factors, not early life, significantly influence cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in middle-aged men. Where men live as adults, rather than where they were born, is a stronger predictor of CVD events and mortality.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Cardiovascular Health
- Public Health
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains a leading cause of mortality globally.
- Understanding the interplay of early life versus adult life factors is crucial for effective CVD prevention strategies.
- Internal migration within Great Britain (GB) offers a unique model to study these influences.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relative impact of early life (zone of birth) and adult life (zone of examination) on cardiovascular disease risk.
- To assess how migration patterns within GB affect cardiovascular outcomes in middle-aged men.
- To identify key determinants of cardiovascular risk in a middle-aged male population.
Main Methods:
- A prospective study involving 7,735 middle-aged men (40-59 years) from 24 British towns.
- Categorization of participants based on zone of birth and zone of examination (South of England vs. rest of GB).
- Long-term follow-up (mean 21.8 years) to record coronary heart disease (CHD) events and cardiovascular deaths.
Main Results:
- Men examined in the South of England exhibited lower risk of CHD events and CVD mortality, irrespective of their birth zone.
- The zone of examination was a stronger predictor of cardiovascular risk than the zone of birth.
- Men born and examined in the rest of GB had the highest adjusted risk, while those migrating to the South had risks similar to men born and examined in the South.
Conclusions:
- Adult life circumstances, particularly the place of residence, appear to be the dominant factor in determining cardiovascular risk in middle and older age.
- While adult factors are dominant, the potential influence of early life factors on cardiovascular risk cannot be entirely excluded.
- These findings highlight the importance of environmental and lifestyle factors during adulthood for cardiovascular health.
Aim:
To examine the relative contributions of early life and adult life factors to risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in middle-aged men using migration within Great Britain (GB).
Methods:
Prospective study of 7,735 men (40-59 years) drawn from one group practice in each of 24 British towns. Zones of birth and/or examination: South of England and rest of GB (Midlands and Wales, North of England, and Scotland).
Results:
There were 1,392 coronary heart disease (CHD) events and 1154 cardiovascular deaths during 21.8 years mean follow-up. Regardless of birth zone, men examined in the South showed lower risk of CHD events and CVD mortality than those examined in the rest of GB. Migrants from South to rest of GB showed a small increase in cardiovascular risk. Men born and examined in the rest of GB showed the highest adjusted risk of CHD events (RR = 1.15, 95% CI: 0.96-1.38) and CVD mortality (RR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.04-1.57). Men born in the rest of GB who moved to the South showed adjusted risks of CHD events and CVD mortality similar to those born and examined in the South. Zone of examination was more strongly associated with CHD events and CVD mortality than zone of birth (RR = 1.23 versus 0.95 for CHD; RR = 1.26 versus 1.04 for CVD mortality). Smokers, irrespective of zone of birth or examination, showed higher risk than non-smokers.
Conclusion:
Factors in adult life appear to be dominant in determining cardiovascular risk in middle and older age although this does not exclude early life effects on cardiovascular risk.
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