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Updated: Aug 13, 2026

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Course and prognosis in early-onset MS: comparison with adult-onset forms
I L Simone1, D Carrara, C Tortorella
1Department of Neurological and Psychiatric Sciences, University of Bari, Italy. isasimone@neurol.uniba.it
Objectives:
To establish the prognostic role of clinical and demographic factors in a hospital-based cohort of MS patients categorized by age at clinical onset and clinical course.
Methods:
Eighty-three patients with MS had a clinical onset of the disease in childhood (age <16 years; early-onset MS [EOMS]) and 710 in adult age (between 16 and 65 years; adult-onset MS [AOMS]). Patients were followed for a mean period of observation of 5 years. Univariate and multivariate analyses of clinical and demographic predictors for rapid progression and disability were performed using a stepwise Cox regression model with time-dependent covariates.
Results:
In EOMS, the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) evaluated at last clinical examination was lower than in AOMS, despite a longer disease duration. The probability to reach growth disability and progression was significantly lower in EOMS than in AOMS. Median times to reach EDSS score of 4 and secondary progression were longer in EOMS than in AOMS, but the age at both endpoints was significantly lower in EOMS. In EOMS and AOMS, an irreversible disability was related to a secondary progressive course, a sphincteric system involvement at onset, and an older age at onset (in EOMS only for the group >14 years); in AOMS, other unfavorable factors were a pyramidal involvement at onset and a high relapse frequency in the first 2 years. The risk of entering secondary progression was significantly influenced by a high number of relapses in EOMS and by a higher age at onset and a short interattack interval in AOMS.
Conclusion:
A slower rate of progression of disease characterized EOMS patients, suggesting more plasticity to recover in developing CNS, but the early clinical manifestation cannot be considered a positive prognostic factor.
Insights
Early-onset multiple sclerosis (MS) shows slower progression than adult-onset MS, but early manifestation is not a positive prognostic indicator. Developing central nervous system plasticity may explain slower disease advancement in pediatric MS patients.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Clinical Research
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Multiple sclerosis (MS) prognosis varies significantly based on age at onset.
- Understanding prognostic factors in early-onset MS (EOMS) versus adult-onset MS (AOMS) is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the prognostic significance of clinical and demographic factors in MS patients.
- To compare disease progression and disability in EOMS and AOMS cohorts.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 83 EOMS (<16 years) and 710 AOMS (16-65 years) patients.
- Follow-up for a mean of 5 years.
- Cox regression models analyzed predictors of rapid progression and disability.
Main Results:
- EOMS patients had lower Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores than AOMS patients, despite longer disease duration.
- The probability of reaching disability milestones and secondary progression was lower in EOMS.
- Factors predicting irreversible disability included secondary progressive course, sphincteric involvement, and older age at onset (EOMS).
Conclusions:
- EOMS is characterized by a slower disease progression rate, potentially due to greater CNS plasticity.
- Early clinical manifestation of MS is not a favorable prognostic factor.
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