The fate of AAA patients referred electively to vascular surgical unit

The ideal treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) is to operate aneurysms likely to rupture, without exposing other cases to major surgery. The purpose here was to analyse retrospectively the management of AAA in a well-defined geographical region in the 1990's.

194 new vascular surgical outpatient consultations due to AAA were done to the regional vascular centre during the years 1990, 1992, 1994, 1996 and 1998. Data were collected from case records. Statistics Finland provided causes and dates of death.

The mean observed annual AAA incidence was 9.0 per 100 000 inhabitants and it rose significantly (33.3%) during the study period. The duration of follow-up varied between 0 and 129 months. The 5/8-year cumulative mortality was 37.3/50.7%. The most common causes of death were AAA-related (31.7%), cardiac (29.1%) or malignancy (19.0%). Twenty-five patients with small AAA were referred to primary health care sector for further follow-up. There were no RAAA (ruptured AAA) deaths in this group. The cumulative 5/8-year mortality was 43.2/49.9%. One hundred patients underwent an elective aneurysm repair with in-hospital mortality of 7.0%. The cumulative 5/8-year mortality was 23.7/35.4%. Twelve patients refused elective treatment. The cumulative 5/8-year mortality was 45.1/ 63.4% and 5/7 deaths were due to RAAA. Twenty-three patients were unfit for elective repair. The cumulative 5/8-year mortality was 87.0%/100% and 5/20 deaths were caused by RAAA. The cumulative 5/8-year RAAA-rate in the patients with AAA more than 5.0 cm in diameter and outside elective aneurysm-repair (n = 23) was 51.9%/100.0%.

The observed incidence of AAA increased during the 1990's. Half of the patients underwent an elective procedure. Patients unfit for surgery died mainly for other reasons than RAAA. Most patients with AAA over 5.5 cm not subjected to elective procedure, died of rupture.