[Is age an independent predictor of mortality in cardiac surgery as postulated in EuroScore?]

The number of "older" patients undergoing cardiac surgery is steadily increasing. In the year 2000, 37% of all patients who underwent a cardiac operation in Germany were 70 years of age or older. Looking at data form our institution, we focused on the topic, whether age on its own is an independent determinant for mortality in cardiac surgery. Data from 8769 patients who underwent cardiac surgery in our institution from January 1996 until January 2002 were analyzed. For all patients, EuroScore and the corresponding age-stripped value was calculated. All recorded postoperative complications and 30-day mortality were statistically analyzed. EuroScore as well as the age-stripped EuroScore showed a significant rise with increasing age in the total number of patients as well as in the patients, who did not die during the first 30 days after the operation. The 30 day mortality and the incidence of postoperative complications increased significantly with age. While the EuroScore showed a significant age-dependent increase in patients who died within 30 days after the operation, the age-stripped EuroScore did not reveal a significant discrepancy in mortality with respect to age. Arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation, parameters not mentioned in EuroScore, showed significant differences among age groups. According to univariate analysis, arterial hypertension and diabetes mellitus were significant predictors of mortality. Entered into a multivariate logistic regression analysis, only diabetes mellitus achieved statistical significance. Our data and the known age-associated functional and structural changes of different organ systems show that age integrates risk factors together. In order to limit mortality in the steadily growing number of older and multi-morbid patients undergoing cardiac surgery, exceptional emphasis has to be put on patient selection and therapeutic measures to improve preoperative status.