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The projected increase in glaucoma due to an ageing population.

Maurice W Tuck1, Ronald Pitts Crick

  • 1International Glaucoma Association, London and King's College Hospital, London.

Ophthalmic & Physiological Optics : the Journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists)
|March 19, 2003
PubMed
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Primary open angle glaucoma (POAG) cases in England and Wales are projected to rise by a third by 2021 and continue increasing. This necessitates a review of current glaucoma detection and management strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Ophthalmology
  • Public Health
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Primary open angle glaucoma (POAG) is a leading cause of irreversible blindness.
  • Accurate prevalence data is crucial for healthcare planning and resource allocation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the future prevalence of POAG in England and Wales.
  • To inform healthcare providers about potential increases in POAG cases.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized official population projections by 5-year age groups.
  • Applied an age-specific POAG prevalence curve derived from 11 epidemiological surveys.

Main Results:

  • POAG cases in England and Wales are projected to increase by approximately one-third by 2021.

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  • The upward trend in POAG prevalence is expected to continue beyond 2021.

    • Conclusions:

    • A significant rise in POAG incidence necessitates a comprehensive re-evaluation of the existing healthcare system.
    • Current systems for POAG detection, referral, diagnosis, treatment, and monitoring require thorough review to manage increasing patient numbers.