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Multiple-cause coding of death from myocardial infarction: population-based study of trends in death certificate data

Michael J Goldacre1, Stephen E Roberts, Myfanwy Griffith

  • 1Unit of Health-Care Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Institute of Health Science, University of Oxford, Old Road, Oxford OX3 7LF. michael.goldacre@dphpc.ox.ac.uk

Insights

Multiple-cause coding of deaths for myocardial infarction is a robust measure. The underlying cause of death accurately reflects mortality rates, even with coding rule changes.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular epidemiology
  • Public health surveillance
  • Mortality statistics

Background:

  • Limited data exist on long-term mortality trends using multiple-cause coding.
  • The contribution of multiple-cause coding to interpreting myocardial infarction mortality rates is unclear.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the utility of multiple-cause coding for myocardial infarction mortality.
  • To assess the robustness of underlying cause coding for myocardial infarction.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of all causes of death from death certificates.
  • Study period: 1979-1998 in the former Oxford health service region.
  • Examination of the ratio of 'mentions' to 'underlying cause' for myocardial infarction.

Main Results:

  • Myocardial infarction was the underlying cause in 93.6% of relevant death certificates.
  • The ratio of mentions to underlying cause remained consistent over time, despite falling mortality rates.
  • Coding rule changes had minimal impact on this ratio, which was similar across genders and age groups.

Conclusions:

  • Underlying cause of death coding is a reliable and comprehensive indicator for myocardial infarction.
  • Multiple-cause coding provides a robust measure for tracking myocardial infarction mortality trends.
Abstract

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