[A cohort study on cerebral vascular hemodynamics accumulative score and risks of stroke]

To estimate relative risk (RR) of cerebral vascular hemodynamics indexes (CVHI) accumulative score as well as some other risk factors of stroke.

A cohort study was carried out in 25 355 participants aged 35 and over in Northeast of China from 1994 to 2001. In the baseline survey, exposure rates of hypertension, diabetes, family history of stroke and hypertension, etc. were collected and CVHI was examined. CVHI accumulative score was synthesized according to contribution of single index. During the 7-year following up, 228 stroke cases were identified and stroke coming on was defined as the endpoint of observation. Uni-variable and multiple variables analysis were carried out for estimating RR of CVHI and other risk factors of stroke.

Uni-variables analysis indicated that RR (95% confidence interval, CI) of Hypertension, heart diseases, diabetes, family history of hypertension and stroke, overweight or obesity, alcohol intake, cigarette smoking and CVHI < 75 scores were 3.23 (2.48 - 4.20), 2.53 (1.92 - 3.33), 2.38 (1.55 - 3.64), 1.32 (1.02 - 1.72), 1.82 (1.37 - 2.41), 1.62 (1.25 - 2.11), 1.48 (1.07 - 2.04), 1.76 (1.34 - 2.31) and 7.30 (5.43 - 9.80) respectively. Cox regression analysis showed that CVHI below 75 points, family history of stroke, cigarette smoking, heart disease, hypertension, age and sex were the factors being selected in equation. There was a significant dosage response between the decrease of CVHI score and the increase of stroke risk. RR of stroke reached 12.55 when CVHI below 75 points and history of hypertension appeared in the same individuals.

Abnormality of CVHI score seemed to be the most important and independent factor among stroke risk factors. Decrease of CVHI score might serve as a marker of high risk and play important role in stroke, especially coexistence with hypertension.