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A quantitative illustration of the public health potential of aspirin
1Department of Public Health, Iechyd Morgannwg Health Authority, Swansea, Wales, UK. gareth.morgan@morgannwg-ha.wales.nhs.uk
Abstract:
Aspirin is showing potential in reducing the risk of several diseases of public health importance. These include cardiovascular disease, cancer and Alzheimer's disease. In this paper, a fictional scenario is considered in which 50 year old individuals are encouraged to take aspirin. Using crude assumptions and simple calculations, a Kaplan-Meier survival curve of aspirin users is presented. The main finding of this exercise is the possibility that the long-term use of low dose aspirin may double the chances of individuals living a healthy life into their 90's. Further research is needed.
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