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Cold--an underrated risk factor for health
1Department of Medical Physiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tromsø, N-9037 Tromsø, Norway. james.mercer@fagmed.uit.no <james.mercer@fagmed.uit.no>
Insights
Excess winter mortality, particularly from cardiovascular diseases (CVD), peaks in colder months. The exact mechanisms linking cold exposure to increased CVD deaths, even in warmer climates, require further investigation.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health
- Epidemiology
- Cardiology
Background:
- Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) cause 20% of global deaths and 50% in developed nations.
- Excess winter mortality, a rise in deaths during colder months, is a documented phenomenon.
- CVD accounts for a significant portion of excess winter deaths, with respiratory diseases also contributing.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the phenomenon of excess winter mortality, specifically its link to cardiovascular diseases.
- To explore the paradoxical increase in CVD mortality with falling temperatures, even in regions with mild winters.
- To elucidate the unclear mechanisms connecting cold ambient conditions to increased mortality risk.
Main Methods:
- The study reviews epidemiological evidence linking cold climates to increased mortality rates.
- It considers both outdoor and indoor climatic conditions as potential factors.
- It examines contributing factors such as health status, thermoregulation, toxicology, and socioeconomic status.
Main Results:
- Seasonal variations in death rates are observed, with peaks during winter months.
- CVD mortality shows a disproportionate increase with temperature drops, notably in areas with warmer winters.
- Indirect evidence suggests cold exposure, potentially indoor, is linked to excess winter deaths.
Conclusions:
- Cold exposure is strongly implicated in excess winter mortality, particularly for cardiovascular diseases.
- The precise mechanisms remain unclear but may involve indoor environmental factors and individual health determinants.
- Further research is needed to understand how mild cold exposure increases mortality risk.
Abstract:
Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are responsible for around 20% of all deaths worldwide (approximately 14 million) and are the principal cause of death in all developed countries, accounting for 50% of all deaths. Variations in the annual per capita death rates in different countries are well documented. Less well known are seasonal variations in death rates, with the highest levels occurring during the colder winter months, which have been described in many countries. This phenomenon is referred to as excess winter mortality. CVD-related deaths account for the majority of excess winter deaths (up to 70% in some countries), while about half of the remaining are due to increases in respiratory diseases. Paradoxically, CVD mortality increases to a greater extent with a given fall in temperature in regions with warm winters. While much of the indirect evidence points to the notion that cold is somehow involved in explaining excess winter deaths, the mechanism by which seemingly mild exposure to cold ambient conditions can increase the risk of death remains unclear. The strong indirect epidemiological evidence coupling cold climate to mortality may be related to indoor rather than outdoor climatic conditions (e.g., cold/damp houses versus warm/dry houses) coupled with a plethora of factors including health status, ageing-related deterioration in physiological and behavioral thermoregulation, toxicology, and socioeconomic factors.
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