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The duration of a sequence of epidemics
1Institut für Mathematik, Universität Zürich, Winterthurerstr. 190, CH-8057 Zürich, Switzerland. adb@amath.unizh.ch
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
|May 17, 2003
Abstract:
The typical duration of an epidemic in a sequence of linearly ordered populations shows a surprising nonmonotonic behaviour with respect to population size, which was noted by Swinton (1998) [Bull. Math. Biol., 60, 215-230]. This paper gives the sketch of a proof of the phenomenon.