Jove
Visualize
Contact Us
JoVE
x logofacebook logolinkedin logoyoutube logo
ABOUT JoVE
OverviewLeadershipBlogJoVE Help Center
AUTHORS
Publishing ProcessEditorial BoardScope & PoliciesPeer ReviewFAQSubmit
LIBRARIANS
TestimonialsSubscriptionsAccessResourcesLibrary Advisory BoardFAQ
RESEARCH
JoVE JournalMethods CollectionsJoVE Encyclopedia of ExperimentsArchive
EDUCATION
JoVE CoreJoVE BusinessJoVE Science EducationJoVE Lab ManualFaculty Resource CenterFaculty Site
Terms & Conditions of Use
Privacy Policy
Policies

Related Experiment Videos

Chaotic evolution of arms races.

Masaki Tomochi1, Mitsuo Kono

  • 1Faculty of Policy Studies, Chuo University, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0381, Japan.

Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)
|June 5, 2003
PubMed
Summary

This study introduces a new model for the arms race, incorporating factors like historical enmity and deterrence. It reveals that differing economic situations can lead to chaotic arms race dynamics.

Related Concept Videos

You might also read

Related Articles

Articles linked to this work by shared authors, journal, and citation graph.

Sort by
Same author

Does the sixth wave of COVID-19 break in Okinawa?

Journal of general and family medicine·2022
Same author

A mathematical model for COVID-19 pandemic-SIIR model: Effects of asymptomatic individuals.

Journal of general and family medicine·2021
Same author

Spontaneous formation of a plasma hole in a rotating magnetized plasma: a giant burgers vortex in a compressible fluid.

Physical review letters·2002
Same author

Spatial prisoner's dilemma games with dynamic payoff matrices.

Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics·2002

Area of Science:

  • Political Science
  • Mathematical Modeling
  • International Relations

Background:

  • The study builds upon Richardson's arms race model.
  • Existing models may not fully capture complex geopolitical and economic factors influencing armament dynamics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose an extended model for arms race evolution.
  • To investigate the impact of power-dependent defense, deterrence, and nonlinear armament differences.
  • To analyze the emergence of stationary, periodic, and chaotic behaviors.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a new set of model equations extending Richardson's work.
  • Numerical solutions to explore system dynamics under varying parameters.
  • Analysis of conditions leading to chaotic behavior, particularly economic disparities.

Main Results:

  • The model demonstrates stationary, periodic, and chaotic evolutionary paths for arms races.
  • Chaotic dynamics are observed when participating nations have significantly different economic situations.
  • Nonlinear defense reactions and deterrence effects are shown to influence armament trajectories.

Conclusions:

  • The extended model provides a more nuanced understanding of arms race evolution.
  • Economic disparities are identified as a key driver of unpredictable and chaotic arms races.
  • The findings have implications for international relations and conflict prevention strategies.

Related Experiment Videos