Second births among teenage mothers: program results and statistical methods

This paper uses survival analysis to examine three large-scale, multi-site, randomized, controlled programs that attempted to prevent or delay second births to teenagers. Statistically significant differences in the hypothesized direction were found between the intervention and the control groups in the Elmira and Memphis Home Visitation sites. No statistically significant differences in the hypothesized direction were found in the Teen Parent Welfare Demonstration overall or in any of its three sites or in all New Chance sites combined. Delaying second pregnancies among teenagers requires intensive efforts. Survival analysis is a more accurate and useful way of presenting program results than simple analysis of the proportion of women with a second birth.