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Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of incident congestive heart failure: the Cardiovascular Health Study
Thomas D Rea1, Bruce M Psaty, Susan R Heckbert
1Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, University of Washington, Metropolitan Park, East Tower, 1730 Minor Avenue, Seattle, WA 98101, USA. rea123@u.washington.edu
Insights
Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) did not significantly alter the risk of congestive heart failure (CHF) in older women. However, body mass index and osteoporosis status influenced this association, with lower BMI or osteoporosis linked to reduced CHF risk.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Endocrinology
Background:
- Congestive heart failure (CHF) development in older adults involves complex mechanisms.
- Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) influences pathways relevant to CHF pathogenesis.
- Previous research suggests a potential link between HRT and cardiovascular health.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use and the risk of incident congestive heart failure (CHF) in older women.
- To determine if HRT use modifies CHF risk in elderly women.
- To explore potential modifying factors in the HRT-CHF relationship.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study (Cardiovascular Health Study) including 3223 women aged 65+ without baseline CHF.
- Cox proportional-hazards regression used to assess time-dependent HRT use (past, current, never) and incident CHF risk.
- Analysis adjusted for relevant covariates and explored interactions with BMI and osteoporosis.
Main Results:
- Overall, HRT was not associated with a significantly increased or decreased risk of incident CHF.
- Current HRT users showed a relative risk (RR) of 1.34 (95% CI 0.93, 1.94) compared to never users.
- The association between HRT and CHF risk was significantly modified by Body Mass Index (BMI) and osteoporosis status.
Conclusions:
- Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is not generally associated with the risk of developing congestive heart failure (CHF) in older women.
- Body Mass Index (BMI) and osteoporosis status are significant modifiers of the HRT-CHF association.
- Lower BMI and the presence of osteoporosis were associated with a reduced risk of CHF in the context of HRT use.
Background:
The development of congestive heart failure (CHF) in older persons is related to a variety of mechanisms. Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) affects several of the pathways that may be important in the development of CHF. We hypothesized that HRT would be associated with a decreased risk of incident CHF.
Methods:
Using Cox proportional-hazards regression, we assessed the risk of incident CHF (n = 304) associated with time-dependent past and current use of HRT compared to never use. The Cardiovascular Health Study is a prospective cohort study of community-dwelling adults aged 65 years and older. This analysis included female participants without a history of CHF at baseline (n = 3223).
Results:
At baseline, 62% were never users, 26% were past users, and 12% were current users of HRT. Compared with never users, the multivariable relative risk (RR) of CHF was 1.01 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.76,1.34) for past users and 1.34 (0.93,1.94) for current users. Results were similar among most treatment and clinical subgroups, except that the association of current HRT with CHF appeared to depend on body mass index (BMI) or osteoporosis status. The RR was 0.82 (0.43,1.60) for normal weight women, 1.65 (0.95,2.88) for overweight women, and 2.22 (1.06,4.67) for obese women (p = 0.01 for interaction). Similarly, the RR was 0.15 (0.04,0.65) for women with osteoporosis and 1.82 (1.25,2.65) for women without osteoporosis (p = 0.001 for interaction).
Conclusions:
Overall, HRT was not associated with the risk of incident CHF, although BMI and osteoporosis appeared to modify the association of HRT with CHF. The risk of CHF was lower in patients with lower BMI or osteoporosis.
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