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Related Experiment Videos

Floods and climate change: interactions and impacts.

Axel Bronstert1

  • 1University of Potsdam, Institute for Geo-Ecology, Chair for Hydrology and Climatology, PO Box 60 15 53, 14415 Potsdam, Germany. axelbron@rz.uni-potsdam.de

Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
|July 3, 2003
PubMed
Summary

Human-induced climate change may exacerbate flood risks in Europe. This review examines climate models, observed trends, and flood modeling to understand the link between greenhouse gas emissions and increased river flooding.

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Climate Science
  • Hydrology

Background:

  • Flooding in Germany and Europe has intensified, prompting debate on human influence.
  • Anthropogenic factors like river regulation, land use, and climate change are potential drivers.
  • This review focuses on the impact of anthropogenic climate change on flood risk.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To review existing knowledge on climate change and flood risk.
  • To analyze the role of greenhouse gas emissions in altering flood patterns.
  • To bridge the gap between climate and hydrological modeling scales.

Main Methods:

  • Review of climate model relevance, capabilities, and limitations for flood risk analysis.
  • Summarization of observed trends in climate variables affecting river flooding, particularly in German catchment areas.

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  • Overview of modeling approaches for the flood risk cascade, including meteorological, hydrological, and hydraulic models.

    • Main Results:

    • Climate models and hydrological models operate at different spatial scales, posing challenges for integrated flood risk assessment.
    • Observed trends in climate variables indicate changes relevant to river flooding.
    • Various models can simulate different components of the flood risk cascade.

    Conclusions:

    • Understanding the interplay between climate change and flood risk requires integrating diverse modeling approaches.
    • Further research is needed to refine models and accurately predict future flood events.
    • Addressing greenhouse gas emissions is crucial for mitigating increased flood risk.