AFP-producing gastric carcinoma: multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in 270 patients

Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is sometimes high in patients with primary gastric carcinoma, and there is no comprehensive study on the clinicopathologic characteristics and prognostic factors of AFP-producing gastric carcinoma (AGC). To clarify the variables associated with the survival after gastrectomy for AGC, we reviewed the data of patients with AGC and examined the independent prognostic factors. We studied 270 cases of AGC reported in the Japanese literature from June 1982 to March 2001, together with 1 patient of our own experience. The clinicopathologic findings, including serum AFP level, operative curability, and stage of the disease were examined, and factors associated with survival were determined by multivariate analysis. There were 15 stage I tumors (6%), 50 stage II tumors (19%), 51 stage III tumors (20%), and 145 stage IV tumors (55%). The tumors were characterized by frequent serosal invasion (75%), lymph node metastasis (83%), liver metastasis (33%), stage III or IV disease (75%), and noncurative operation (48%). The survival was influenced by the serum AFP level, tumor size, serosal invasion, lymph node metastasis, and liver metastasis, but the independent prognostic factors were operative curability (curative vs. noncurative) and stage of the disease (I, II vs. III, IV). Although the 5-year survival rate and median survival period in all patients were 22% and 14 months, respectively, those in patients with curative gastrectomy were 42% and 29 months, respectively. The results indicate that operative curability and stage of the disease are factors associated with the survival of patients with AGC. Although tumors are often advanced and complicated with liver metastases, long-term survival can be achieved when patients with stage I or II tumor undergo curative gastrectomy.