Can P wave parameters obtained from 12-lead surface electrocardiogram be a predictor for atrial fibrillation in

Bülent B Altunkeser1, Kurtuluş Ozdemir, Hasan Gök

  • 1Department of Cardiology, Faculty of Medicine, Selçuk University, Konya, Turkey. bbaltunkeser@hotmail.com

Angiology
|August 26, 2003
PubMed

Insights

Maximum P wave duration and left atrial diameter predict chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) risk in patients with structural heart disease and sinus rhythm. These ECG and echocardiography parameters help identify individuals at higher risk for developing AF.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Electrophysiology
  • Medical Diagnostics

Background:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia, particularly in patients with structural heart disease.
  • Identifying reliable predictors of AF development in patients with sinus rhythm and structural heart disease is crucial for risk stratification and preventative strategies.
  • Existing methods for risk assessment may not fully capture the electrophysiological and structural changes associated with AF development.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate electrocardiography (ECG) and echocardiography parameters that detect the risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with sinus rhythm and structural heart disease.
  • To identify independent predictors of chronic AF in this patient population.

Main Methods:

  • A study included 45 patients with AF and 37 patients without AF but with structural heart disease, all in sinus rhythm.
  • Echocardiography measured left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and left atrial diameter (LAD).
  • 12-lead ECG recorded P wave duration (P max, P min) and amplitude (P amp max, P amp min) to calculate P wave duration dispersion (P dispersion) and P wave amplitude dispersion (P amp dispersion).

Main Results:

  • Univariate analysis identified P max, P dispersion, P amp max, P amp dispersion, LAD, LVEF, and older age as significant predictors of chronic AF.
  • Multivariate analysis revealed that maximum P wave duration (P max) and left atrial diameter (LAD) were independent predictors of chronic AF.
  • P max and LAD showed significant predictive value (r = 0.39, p < 0.05 and r = 0.34, p < 0.05, respectively).

Conclusions:

  • Maximum P wave duration (P max) and left atrial diameter (LAD) are valuable predictive parameters for estimating the risk of developing chronic AF.
  • These parameters are particularly useful in patients who have sinus rhythm but also exhibit structural heart disease.
  • The findings suggest that integrating ECG-derived P wave characteristics and echocardiographic LAD measurements can enhance AF risk assessment in relevant patient cohorts.

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