[Assessment of prognosis of old myocardial infarction]

In an attempt to predict high risk myocardial infarction, we studied 201 patients with Q wave infarction with dipyridamole-loading thallium-201 myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (D-MPS), left ventriculography, coronary angiography and treadmill exercise testing. The results of these tests were related to the use of initial PTCA or CABG, and the occurrence of cardiac deaths and nonfatal cardiac events during a mean follow-up period of 39 months. Three high risk parameters were identified by D-MPS; partial redistribution, diffuse slow washout, and extensive fixed defects. The patients were categorized into 3 groups according to the numbers of high risk parameters: group A (n = 50), patients with 2 or more high risk parameters; group B (n = 95), patients with one high risk parameter; group C (n = 56), patients without a high risk parameter. The prevalence of 3-, 2-, and one- or insignificant vessel disease was 72, 20 and 8% in group A, 15, 16, and 69% in group B, and 5, 13 and 82% in group C, respectively. Initial PTCA or CABG was performed in 42% of the patients in group A, 5% of the patients in group B, and 2% of the patients in group C. Among medically-treated patients, cardiac deaths occurred in 31% in group A, 4% in group B, and in none in group C. Nonfatal cardiac events occurred in 24, 12, and 4%, respectively. Coronary angiography revealed 3-vessel disease in 53 patients, 2-vessel disease in 32, and one-vessel disease or insignificant lesions in 116 patients. Initial PTCA or CABG was performed in 45% of the patients with 3-vessel disease, 6% of those with 2-vessel disease and 1% of those with one-vessel disease. Among medically-treated patients, cardiac deaths occurred in 31% with 3-vessel disease, 7% with 2-vessel disease, and in 2% with one-vessel disease. Nonfatal cardiac events occurred in 17, 10, and 3%, respectively.