The long-term course of treated alcoholism: II. Predictors and correlates of 10-year functioning and mortality

This study examines factors related to mortality and 10-year posttreatment functioning for a sample of alcoholic patients who return to their families after an index residential treatment episode. Of the 113 patients followed 2 years after treatment, 20 had died by the time of the 10-year follow-up. Mortality risk was greater among patients who, prior to treatment, consumed more alcohol and were unemployed. Mortality was more strongly associated with medical conditions, liver problems, medication use and lack of confidants assessed 2 years posttreatment. The course for the surviving patients between the 2-year and 10-year follow-ups was one of improvement in terms of alcohol consumption, relative stability in terms of physical symptoms and depression, and an aging-related decline in social activities and employment. Life context and coping factors assessed 2 years after treatment were predictive of long-term outcome. Persons in less stressful life situations, in more cohesive and organized families, and who more frequently used active cognitive coping responses at the 2-year follow-up tended to function better at the 10-year follow-up. Overall, the findings support the value of embedding long-term follow-up studies in a theory of the disorder that is the target of the intervention.