Mortality of Creole kids during infection with gastrointestinal strongyles: a survival analysis

Mortality due to strongyles infection in small ruminants is a critical component of flock productivity in a tropical climate. In goat production, few experiments have been conducted to estimate the variability of this trait. A survival analysis study was carried out in the Creole experimental flock of INRA-Gardel (Moule, Guadeloupe) to identify management and genetic factors influencing mortality of kids reared at pasture and infected with gastrointestinal strongyles, predominantly Haemonchus contortus and Trichostrongylus colubriformis. Survival curves from 3 and 11 mo of age were analyzed for 837 kids sired by 48 bucks and 250 does. The causes of death were recorded. Mortality due to gastrointestinal strongyles was the variable considered. The flock management included drenchings with levamisole every 8 wk. Fecal egg counts and packed cell volume were regularly measured after 7 wk of natural infection. All but 6.7% of the records were uncensored, with an average failure time of 165 d. The probability of death following gastrointestinal infection was more than three times greater in males than in females. Kids raised by their mother before weaning had a lower (P < 0.05) relative risk of dying than those reared in nursery (0.40 vs. 1). Parity of the dam and litter size effects were not significant. The risk of death was reduced by approximately 80% during the 3 wk that followed a drenching (P < 0.01). Risk decreased by about 25% for each additional kilogram of body weight at weaning. Live weight, fecal egg counts, and packed cell volume all had significant effects on risk of death when introduced as time-dependent covariates in the model (P < 0.0001 for live weight and packed cell volume, and P < 0.01 for fecal egg counts). The estimated genetic variability was small and inaccurate. These results demonstrated that risk of death from gastrointestinal infection could be reduced with appropriate flock management. High infection levels increased the risk of death, but they were not the direct cause. The important mediation of reduced body weight and anemia in likelihood of death is highlighted. More data are needed to better assess the possibility for genetic improvement of viability in Creole kids during gastrointestinal strongyle infection.