Predicting symptoms of depression from reports of early parenting: a one-year prospective study in a community sample

The purpose of this study was to determine whether (reported) parental over involvement and lack of affection identify initially healthy subjects at risk for depression. One thousand subjects from the province of Utrecht, the Netherlands were randomly selected by using telephone addresses and asked to participate in a one-year prospective study on psychological risk factors of depression. From the 108 subjects that finally participated on both occasions, the reports of parental upbringing (Parental Bonding Instrument) of initially non-depressed subjects with a Zung Self-rating Depression Scale score below 49 points were used to predict new cases of depression one year later. Initially non-depressed subjects who reported maternal over involvement in the upper quartile of the distribution had an 8.5-fold increased risk (95% confidence interval 0.9 to 80.6) of becoming depressed one year later. Although initial reports of low paternal affection were positively associated with initial symptoms of depression, this characteristic failed to show predictive value. Parental upbringing deficiencies have frequently been shown in cross-sectional inpatient studies in which retrospective retrieval from memory because of depressive state characteristics may have caused negative colouring. Our results would suggest that maternal over involvement reported in the absence of a depressed mood still proves to be an important psychological risk factor in the aetiology of depression.