[Comparison of population coronary heart disease risk estimated by the Framingham original and REGICOR calibrated functions]
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An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
Rafael Ramos1, Pascual Solanas, Ferran Cordón
1Equipo de Atención Primaria Salt. Servicio de Atención Primaria Gironès Sud-La Selva. Unidad Docente de Medicina de Familia. Institut Català de la Salut. Girona. Spain.
Insights
The Framingham-REGICOR function significantly lowers coronary heart disease risk classification for Spanish men and women compared to the Framingham-Wilson function. This recalibration impacts lipid-lowering treatment indications in primary prevention strategies.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Coronary heart disease (CHD) risk assessment is crucial for primary prevention.
- The Framingham function is widely used but requires population-specific calibration.
- The therapeutic impact of the REGICOR-calibrated Framingham function in Spain was previously unknown.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare coronary risk classification using the classical Framingham-Wilson function and the REGICOR-calibrated Framingham function in the Spanish population.
- To evaluate the consequences of these differing classifications on the indication for lipid-lowering treatment.
Main Methods:
- A comparison of risk stratification using Framingham-Wilson and Framingham-REGICOR functions.
- Analysis of 3,270 individuals (aged 35-74) without prior ischemic heart disease or lipid-lowering treatment.
- Estimation of lipid-lowering treatment candidates based on 2003 European guidelines.
Main Results:
- Framingham-REGICOR assigned lower risk categories to 54.2% of women and 67.9% of men compared to Framingham-Wilson.
- A two-category risk decrease was observed in 21.2% of men and 0.2% of women.
- For non-diabetic individuals, lipid-lowering treatment indication decreased from 14.5% (Framingham-Wilson) to 4.4% (Framingham-REGICOR).
Conclusions:
- The Framingham-REGICOR function significantly reclassifies coronary risk downwards for a substantial proportion of the Spanish population.
- This recalibration has major implications for initiating lipid-lowering therapy in primary prevention.
- The calibrated Framingham-REGICOR function is more appropriate for risk estimation in Spain than the original Framingham function.
Background And Objective:
The therapeutic consequences of using the Framingham function calibrated by the REGICOR and Framingham investigators (Framingham-REGICOR) in the Spanish population are unknown. The objective of this study was to determine the differences in the classification of the population coronary risk when using the classical Framingham function (Framingham-Wilson) and that calibrated, and its consequences on the theoretical indication of lipid-lowering treatment.
Patients And Method:
The classification into the < 2%, 2-4,9%, 5-9,9%, 10-19,9%, 20-39,9%, and >= 40% risk categories observed by the two functions was compared in 3.270 individuals aged 35 to 74 years with no history of ischaemic heart disease or lipid-lowering drug treatment, recruited in two population samples representative of Girona between 1994 and 2001. The number of lipid-lowering treatment candidates was estimated applying the most recent guidelines for clinical practice, according to the risk level obtained with both functions.
Results:
The proportion of patients excluded owing to the fact that they already were on lipid-lowering treatment was 6.2%. The Framingham-REGICOR assigned 54.2% of women and 67.9% of men to a lower level of risk as compared to the Framingham-Wilson function. In 0.2% of women and 21.2% of men the decrease was two categories of risk. The figures in diabetic participants were 75.7 and 18.5%, respectively. When the European recommendations published in 2003 were applied, lipid-lowering treatment would have been indicated in 14.5% and in 4.4% of non-diabetic participants by the Framingham-Wilson and the Framingham-REGICOR, respectively.
Conclusions:
The calibrated Framingham-REGICOR function assigns a lower coronary risk category in more than 50% of women and almost 90% of men than the uncalibrated Framingham function. The calibrated function is more suitable for risk estimation in primary prevention than the original function in Spain.
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