Estimation of age at death from second metacarpals

This study examined the estimation of age at death from the second metacarpal in 227 individuals aged 30-98 years. Variables ascertained from each bone were: cortical thickness and microdensitometric cortical bone density measured on radiographs of the bone and total osteon count and density recorded on microradiographs of the complete cross section at its midshaft. Based on the latter two variables, two age groups were formed; a middle age group representing those individuals aged 30-65 years, and an older group aged 65+. Stepwise regression analysis of the four variables produced a series of regression equations for age estimation for the middle, old and combined age groups for each sex and sexes combined. Sex-specific equations provided better results than nonspecific ones, especially in females. Total osteon density and combined cortical thickness were found to be the most useful estimators in the middle and the old age group, respectively. The standard error of estimate was 6.71 and 6.90 years in each age group for the sexes combined. In the combined age group, age could be estimated accurately from total osteon count, cortical thickness and MD cortical bone density with the standard error of estimate of 11.10 years. The relative error of estimate ranged within +/- 30% in almost all individuals aged above 60 years.