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Dynamic decision making: human control of complex systems.

B Brehmer1

  • 1Uppsala University, Sweden.

Acta Psychologica
|December 1, 1992
PubMed
Summary
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Research on dynamic decision making (DD M) shows significant interindividual differences but no strong correlations with traditional psychological tests. Key factors influencing performance include feedback delays and decision side effects, paving the way for reliable experimental results.

Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Psychology
  • Decision Science
  • Human-Computer Interaction

Background:

  • Dynamic decision making (DD M) involves sequential, interdependent decisions in real-time, complex environments.
  • Normative theories are challenging to apply, necessitating a focus on descriptive research.
  • Control theory offers a framework for organizing DD M research.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To review research on dynamic decision making (DD M).
  • To propose a general approach for organizing DD M research.
  • To discuss experimental paradigms and findings in DD M.

Main Methods:

  • Review of existing literature on dynamic decision making.
  • Discussion of computer-simulated microworlds as an experimental paradigm.

Related Experiment Videos

  • Description of two approaches: individual differences and experimental.

    • Main Results:

    • Wide interindividual differences in DD M performance observed.
    • No stable correlations found between microworld performance and traditional psychological tests.
    • Feedback delays and decision side effects significantly impact DD M performance.

    Conclusions:

    • Reliable experimental results in DD M are achievable in laboratory settings.
    • Laboratory findings align with field studies of DD M.
    • Progress has been made towards understanding complex decision-making phenomena.